Copa Uruguay · 26 August 2026AI PICK
Progresovs
CA River Plate
0 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 59.2%
- Edge
- +2.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.69
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.69
The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Progreso
CA River Plate
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.69
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Progreso (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Progreso Win
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 2.40
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.