Primera División - Apertura · 3 May 2026AI PICK
Progresovs
Cerro Largo
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.7%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +4.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Progreso (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Progreso Win
- Edge
- -5.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.