Primera División badgePrimera División · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Progreso badgeProgresovsDanubio badgeDanubio

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
62.8%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.51

MediumEdge -0.1%
Our model62.8%
The market62.9%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Progreso badge

Progreso

Attack25
Defence41
Form20
Danubio badge

Danubio

Attack28
Defence48
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model75.8%
The market75.8%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model62.8%
The market62.9%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.51

Draw No Bet

Danubio (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market55.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Danubio Win

Miss
Our model38.7%
The market42.6%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
2.35

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model15.7%
The market18.1%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.54

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.7%

0-2

6.0%

1-2

4.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.