Primera División - Apertura · 18 April 2026AI PICK
Progresovs
Wanderers
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.4%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +8.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Progreso
Wanderers
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Progreso (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Progreso Win
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.91
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.