Cupa României badgeCupa României · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Progresul Mogosoaia badgeProgresul MogosoaiavsConcordia badgeConcordia

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Progresul Mogosoaia badge

Progresul Mogosoaia

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Concordia badge

Concordia

Attack86
Defence87
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Concordia (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Concordia Win

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model51.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

7.4%

1-3

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.