Pueblavs
Guadalajara Chivas
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.9%
- Market said
- 22.2%
- Edge
- +39.7 pts
- Best odds
- 4.50
The call, locked before kick-off
MissPuebla Win
Match Winner · best price 4.50
The market underrated this by 39.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +41.4
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
Puebla (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Puebla Win
- Edge
- +39.7
- Odds
- 4.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 2.08
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 4.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
18.1%
1-0
15.6%
3-0
13.3%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.