Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Puebla badgePueblavsGuadalajara Chivas badgeGuadalajara Chivas

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.9%
Market said
22.2%
Edge
+39.7 pts
Best odds
4.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Puebla Win

Match Winner · best price 4.50

MediumEdge +39.7%
Our model61.9%
The market22.2%

The market underrated this by 39.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Puebla badge

Puebla

Attack72
Defence39
Form60
Guadalajara Chivas badge

Guadalajara Chivas

Attack14
Defence100
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +41.4%Correct
Our model87.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+41.4
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Puebla (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Void
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Puebla Win

Edge +39.7%Miss
Our model61.9%
The market22.2%
Edge
+39.7
Odds
4.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.6%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market46.6%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market45.8%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.08

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model18.1%
The market20.8%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

18.1%

1-0

15.6%

3-0

13.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.