Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Puebla badgePueblavsSantos Laguna badgeSantos Laguna

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Puebla Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model55.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Puebla badge

Puebla

Attack63
Defence31
Form43
Santos Laguna badge

Santos Laguna

Attack32
Defence48
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model82.9%
The market76.9%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Puebla (DNB)

Edge +15.6%Correct
Our model76.6%
The market61.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
1.64

Match Winner

Puebla Win

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market62.6%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market58.2%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

11.1%

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.