Puerto Cabello IIvs
Real Frontera
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 50.5%
- Edge
- +10.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Puerto Cabello II
Real Frontera
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -15.7
- Odds
- 1.04
Draw No Bet
Puerto Cabello II (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.8
- Odds
- 1.98
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Puerto Cabello II Win
- Edge
- -19.8
- Odds
- 1.40
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.6%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.7%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.