Primera División badgePrimera División · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Puerto Cabello badgePuerto CabellovsDeportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La Guaira

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
43.3%
Edge
+17.9 pts
Best odds
2.31

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.31

MediumEdge +17.9%
Our model61.2%
The market43.3%

The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Puerto Cabello badge

Puerto Cabello

Attack61
Defence67
Form58
Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack67
Defence45
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model77.1%
The market75.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.9%Close
Our model61.2%
The market43.3%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
2.31

Draw No Bet

Puerto Cabello (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market62.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market50.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.97

Match Winner

Puerto Cabello Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market46.7%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
2.14

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

10.9% · actual

1-2

8.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.