Primera División badgePrimera División · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Puerto Cabello badgePuerto CabellovsTrujillanos FC badgeTrujillanos FC

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+11.6 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +11.6%
Our model70.4%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Puerto Cabello badge

Puerto Cabello

Attack43
Defence59
Form45
Trujillanos FC badge

Trujillanos FC

Attack29
Defence32
Form12

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Puerto Cabello (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Puerto Cabello Win

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.