Primera División · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Puntarenas FCvsSporting San Jose

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.8%
Market said: 44.6%
Edge: +9.2 pts
Best odds: 2.14

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.14

LowEdge +9.2%

Our model53.8%

The market44.6%

The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Puntarenas FC

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Sporting San Jose

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%

The market77.5%

Edge: -2.7
Odds: 1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.2%Close

Our model53.8%

The market44.6%

Edge: +9.2
Odds: 2.14

Draw No Bet

Puntarenas FC (DNB)

Void

Our model53.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: -3.8
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct

Our model53.1%

The market52.3%

Edge: +0.8
Odds: 1.84

Match Winner

Puntarenas FC Win

Miss

Our model43.6%

The market44.1%

Edge: -0.5
Odds: 2.27

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.4%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7% · actual

1-0

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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