UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Pyunik Yerevan badgePyunik YerevanvsMarsaxlokk badgeMarsaxlokk

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model55.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pyunik Yerevan badge

Pyunik Yerevan

Attack39
Defence52
Form39
Marsaxlokk badge

Marsaxlokk

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Pyunik Yerevan (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.38

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market94.3%
Edge
-42.6
Odds
1.06

Match Winner

Pyunik Yerevan Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
-35.1
Odds
1.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0% · actual

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.