Super League badgeSuper League · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Qingdao Youth Island badgeQingdao Youth IslandvsChongqing Tongliang Long badgeChongqing Tongliang Long

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
47.9%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

LowEdge +5.8%
Our model53.7%
The market47.9%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Qingdao Youth Island badge

Qingdao Youth Island

Attack47
Defence63
Form57
Chongqing Tongliang Long badge

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Attack37
Defence57
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market77.5%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.29

Draw No Bet

Qingdao Youth Island (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market47.9%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market54.5%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Qingdao Youth Island Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market47.4%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.11

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

9.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.