Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Queen of the South badgeQueen of the SouthvsCumbernauld Colts badgeCumbernauld Colts

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
32.3%
Edge
+22.2 pts
Best odds
3.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 3.10

LowEdge +22.2%
Our model54.5%
The market32.3%

The market underrated this by 22.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Queen of the South badge

Queen of the South

Attack39
Defence30
Form17
Cumbernauld Colts badge

Cumbernauld Colts

Attack33
Defence30
Form8

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market96.2%
Edge
-23.5
Odds
1.04

Draw No Bet

Queen of the South (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.2%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market32.3%
Edge
+22.2
Odds
3.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Queen of the South Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market83.3%
Edge
-40.2
Odds
1.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.