Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Queen of the South badgeQueen of the SouthvsHibernian U21 badgeHibernian U21

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

LowEdge +8.3%
Our model53.8%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Queen of the South badge

Queen of the South

Attack46
Defence38
Form25
Hibernian U21 badge

Hibernian U21

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market97.1%
Edge
-25.5
Odds
1.03

Draw No Bet

Queen of the South (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.6%
The market87.7%
Edge
-28.1
Odds
1.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-19.8
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Queen of the South Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market90.1%
Edge
-48.0
Odds
1.11

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.