Championship badgeChampionship · 5 May 2026AI PICK

Queen of the South badgeQueen of the SouthvsStenhousemuir badgeStenhousemuir

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+18.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +18.5%
Our model67.3%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Queen of the South badge

Queen of the South

Attack77
Defence44
Form44
Stenhousemuir badge

Stenhousemuir

Attack59
Defence77
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.5%Close
Our model67.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
+18.5
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market54.6%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Queen of the South (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Queen of the South Win

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.