Quevillyvs
Concarneau
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 48.6%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.96
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Quevilly
Concarneau
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.43
Draw No Bet
Concarneau (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.96
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Concarneau Win
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.64
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 7.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
10.9%
1-1
12.3% · actual
0-1
10.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.