Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Quevilly badgeQuevillyvsConcarneau badgeConcarneau

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+5.1 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96

LowEdge +5.1%
Our model53.7%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Quevilly badge

Quevilly

Attack34
Defence37
Form28
Concarneau badge

Concarneau

Attack75
Defence46
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market69.9%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.43

Draw No Bet

Concarneau (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Void
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.1%Close
Our model53.7%
The market48.6%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.96

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market55.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Concarneau Win

Edge +13.8%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market37.9%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.64

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.9%

1-1

12.3% · actual

0-1

10.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.