Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Racing Ferrol badgeRacing FerrolvsOsasuna II badgeOsasuna II

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model67.7%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Racing Ferrol badge

Racing Ferrol

Attack36
Defence46
Form33
Osasuna II badge

Osasuna II

Attack36
Defence65
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Racing Ferrol (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Racing Ferrol Win

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model44.5%
The market42.6%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
2.35

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0%

0-1

15.5%

0-0

12.9% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.