Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Racing Ferrol badgeRacing FerrolvsReal Avilés badgeReal Avilés

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Racing Ferrol badge

Racing Ferrol

Attack34
Defence43
Form33
Real Avilés badge

Real Avilés

Attack56
Defence31
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Racing Ferrol (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Racing Ferrol Win

Our model35.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.