Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Racing Montevideo badgeRacing MontevideovsCerro Largo badgeCerro Largo

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.3%
Markets called
4 of 5 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -2.4%
Our model61.3%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Racing Montevideo badge

Racing Montevideo

Attack56
Defence82
Form69
Cerro Largo badge

Cerro Largo

Attack43
Defence47
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.2%Miss
Our model56.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Racing Montevideo (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Racing Montevideo Win

Correct
Our model51.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0% · actual

1-1

10.4%

0-1

10.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.