Primera División - Apertura · 30 May 2026AI PICK
Racing Montevideovs
Defensor Sporting
0 - 0Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.7%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +10.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Racing Montevideo Win
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Racing Montevideo (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
19.8%
0-0
13.1% · actual
0-1
12.4%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.