Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Racing Montevideo badgeRacing MontevideovsPenarol badgePenarol

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.1%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

LowEdge -10.8%
Our model54.1%
The market64.9%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Racing Montevideo badge

Racing Montevideo

Attack41
Defence99
Form67
Penarol badge

Penarol

Attack41
Defence50
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Racing Montevideo (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Void
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.1%
The market64.9%
Edge
-10.8
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.7%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.67

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
-16.7
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Racing Montevideo Win

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model39.9%
The market35.7%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.7%

1-1

15.2% · actual

0-0

14.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.