La Liga · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Racing Santandervs
Villarreal
2 - 2Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 51.5%
- Edge
- +2.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Villarreal (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Villarreal Win
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
8.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.