Serie D - Girone I badgeSerie D - Girone I · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Ragusa badgeRagusavsMessina badgeMessina

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+20.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +20.5%
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 20.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ragusa badge

Ragusa

Attack34
Defence68
Form38
Messina badge

Messina

Attack34
Defence52
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.5%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+20.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Ragusa (DNB)

Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ragusa Win

Our model41.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.4%

0-1

16.6%

0-0

16.3% · actual

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.