Ekstraklasa badgeEkstraklasa · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Raków Częstochowa badgeRaków CzęstochowavsArka Gdynia badgeArka Gdynia

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.2%
Market said
54.3%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model60.2%
The market54.3%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Raków Częstochowa badge

Raków Częstochowa

Attack54
Defence52
Form46
Arka Gdynia badge

Arka Gdynia

Attack47
Defence39
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market54.3%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market54.9%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.82

Draw No Bet

Raków Częstochowa (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Raków Częstochowa Win

Correct
Our model51.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.5%
The market9.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.5%

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.