Ekstraklasa badgeEkstraklasa · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Raków Częstochowa badgeRaków CzęstochowavsJagiellonia badgeJagiellonia

2 - 5
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
57.6%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model58.2%
The market57.6%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Raków Częstochowa badge

Raków Częstochowa

Attack65
Defence56
Form47
Jagiellonia badge

Jagiellonia

Attack57
Defence100
Form82

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.8%
The market77.5%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market57.6%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.66

Draw No Bet

Raków Częstochowa (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.4%
The market62.1%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market61.5%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

Raków Częstochowa Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market49.8%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
2.01

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.5%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

7.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.