La Liga · 20 August 2026AI PICK
Rayo Vallecanovs
Alaves
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 36.6%
- Edge
- +22.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.75
The market underrated this by 22.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +10.5
- Odds
- 1.41
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +22.8
- Odds
- 2.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Rayo Vallecano (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.5
- Odds
- 1.64
Match Winner
Rayo Vallecano Win
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 2.44
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 9.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
10.9% · actual
0-2
7.4%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.