La Liga · 11 May 2026AI PICK
Rayo Vallecanovs
Girona
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +8.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissRayo Vallecano Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Match Winner
Rayo Vallecano Win
- Edge
- +8.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Rayo Vallecano (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.3% · actual
0-1
9.9%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.