La Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Rayo Vallecanovs
Villarreal
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.7%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Rayo Vallecano (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Rayo Vallecano Win
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 2.35
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.