Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 9 May 2026AI PICK

RB Leipzig badgeRB LeipzigvsFC St. Pauli badgeFC St. Pauli

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+21.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

RB Leipzig Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +21.6%
Our model71.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 21.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

RB Leipzig badge

RB Leipzig

Attack56
Defence61
Form60
FC St. Pauli badge

FC St. Pauli

Attack23
Defence45
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Match Winner

RB Leipzig Win

Edge +21.6%Correct
Our model71.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+21.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

RB Leipzig (DNB)

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model66.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model62.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model14.9%
The market12.9%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.9%

2-0

13.4%

2-1

9.4% · actual

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.