Readingvs
Luton
3 - 4Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 51.8%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model60.0%
The market51.8%
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model72.1%
The market76.9%
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market51.8%
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Luton (DNB)
Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Luton Win
Correct
Our model43.1%
The market46.5%
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 2.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.