Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Real Avilés badgeReal AvilésvsGuadalajara badgeGuadalajara

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+9.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Real Avilés Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.5%
Our model59.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Avilés badge

Real Avilés

Attack62
Defence32
Form33
Guadalajara badge

Guadalajara

Attack50
Defence41
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Real Avilés Win

Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model59.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Real Avilés (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.