Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Real Avilés badgeReal AvilésvsPontevedra badgePontevedra

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
46.7%
Edge
+14.6 pts
Best odds
2.14

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.14

MediumEdge +14.6%
Our model61.3%
The market46.7%

The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +6.2%
Our model75.6%
The market69.4%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Pontevedra (DNB)

Edge +20.3%Correct
Our model67.2%
The market46.9%
Edge
+20.3
Odds
2.13

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.6%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market46.7%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
2.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market54.3%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Pontevedra Win

Edge +13.5%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market36.5%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
2.74

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

1-1

9.6%

1-3

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.