Primera B badgePrimera B · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Real Cartagena badgeReal CartagenavsBarranquilla badgeBarranquilla

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Cartagena badge

Real Cartagena

Attack64
Defence45
Form51
Barranquilla badge

Barranquilla

Attack61
Defence48
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Real Cartagena Win

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market69.4%
Edge
-12.6
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Real Cartagena (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.9%
The market9.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.1%

0-1

9.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.