Primera B badgePrimera B · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Real Cartagena badgeReal CartagenavsBogota FC badgeBogota FC

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model57.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Cartagena badge

Real Cartagena

Attack66
Defence56
Form53
Bogota FC badge

Bogota FC

Attack50
Defence56
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Real Cartagena (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Real Cartagena Win

Correct
Our model46.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.