Primera B badgePrimera B · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Real Cartagena badgeReal CartagenavsReal Santander badgeReal Santander

5 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+20.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +20.6%
Our model69.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 20.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Cartagena badge

Real Cartagena

Attack58
Defence41
Form49
Real Santander badge

Real Santander

Attack22
Defence26
Form7

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model87.0%
The market96.2%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.04

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.6%Miss
Our model69.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+20.6
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Real Cartagena (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Real Cartagena Win

Correct
Our model63.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
-15.7
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model19.6%
The market22.5%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
4.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.6%

0-0

16.3%

2-0

14.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.