Real Cartagenavs
Real Santander
5 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +20.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 20.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.2
- Odds
- 1.04
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +20.6
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
Real Cartagena (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Real Cartagena Win
- Edge
- -15.7
- Odds
- 1.27
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 4.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
19.6%
0-0
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.