La Liga badgeLa Liga · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Real Madrid badgeReal MadridvsAlaves badgeAlaves

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.2%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +5.5%
Our model72.2%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Madrid badge

Real Madrid

Attack74
Defence53
Form62
Alaves badge

Alaves

Attack59
Defence36
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model72.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model67.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Real Madrid (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Real Madrid Win

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model54.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.