Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Real Murcia IIvs
Orihuela
1 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Real Murcia II
Orihuela
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.27
Draw No Bet
Orihuela (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.57
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Orihuela Win
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 2.01
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.