Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Real Murcia badgeReal MurciavsAntequera badgeAntequera

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+11.6 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +11.6%
Our model70.4%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Murcia badge

Real Murcia

Attack34
Defence51
Form36
Antequera badge

Antequera

Attack50
Defence41
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Real Murcia Win

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model51.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Real Murcia (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.