Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Real Murcia badgeReal MurciavsEldense badgeEldense

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +16.6%
Our model65.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Murcia badge

Real Murcia

Attack54
Defence44
Form40
Eldense badge

Eldense

Attack96
Defence49
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.6%Correct
Our model65.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Eldense (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Eldense Win

Edge +3.6%
Our model39.3%
The market35.7%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

0-1

8.4%

1-1

7.7%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.