Serie D badgeSerie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Real Noroeste badgeReal NoroestevsDemocrata GV badgeDemocrata GV

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model67.7%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Noroeste badge

Real Noroeste

Attack40
Defence54
Form42
Democrata GV badge

Democrata GV

Attack44
Defence54
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.3%
Our model54.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Real Noroeste (DNB)

Void
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Real Noroeste Win

Edge +16.4%Miss
Our model49.7%
The market33.3%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model15.6%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.6%

1-0

15.6%

0-0

11.5% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.