Serie D badgeSerie D · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Real Noroeste badgeReal NoroestevsTombense badgeTombense

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.0%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model56.0%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Noroeste badge

Real Noroeste

Attack39
Defence40
Form36
Tombense badge

Tombense

Attack67
Defence41
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model56.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Tombense (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tombense Win

Our model32.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.