Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Real Salt Lake badgeReal Salt LakevsHouston Dynamo badgeHouston Dynamo

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.4%
Our model70.8%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Salt Lake badge

Real Salt Lake

Attack56
Defence54
Form60
Houston Dynamo badge

Houston Dynamo

Attack53
Defence47
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model67.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Real Salt Lake Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Real Salt Lake (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.68

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

7.1%

1-2

7.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.