Primera B badgePrimera B · 31 July 2026AI PICK

Real Santander badgeReal SantandervsPatriotas badgePatriotas

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+25.7 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +25.7%
Our model78.3%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 25.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Santander badge

Real Santander

Attack21
Defence25
Form4
Patriotas badge

Patriotas

Attack50
Defence45
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +9.4%Correct
Our model80.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +25.7%Miss
Our model78.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
+25.7
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +17.7%Miss
Our model71.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Patriotas (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Void
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Patriotas Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model20.8%
The market23.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
4.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

20.8%

0-0

21.6%

1-1

12.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.