Primera B · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Real SoachavsReal Cartagena

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.8%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +9.4 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +9.4%

Our model53.8%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Soacha

Attack47

Defence48

Form36

Real Cartagena

Attack67

Defence43

Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.3%

Our model74.8%

The market73.5%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Close

Our model53.8%

The market44.4%

Edge: +9.4
Odds: 2.25

Draw No Bet

Real Cartagena (DNB)

Void

Our model53.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: -3.8
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct

Our model53.1%

The market54.1%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 1.85

Match Winner

Real Cartagena Win

Edge +1.6%Miss

Our model43.3%

The market41.7%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.4%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

13.7% · actual

0-1

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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