Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Real Sociedad II badgeReal Sociedad IIvsTenerife badgeTenerife

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+17.7 pts
Best odds
2.26

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.26

MediumEdge +17.7%
Our model61.2%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 17.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Sociedad II badge

Real Sociedad II

Attack48
Defence43
Form29
Tenerife badge

Tenerife

Attack100
Defence69
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model78.3%
The market67.1%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.49

Draw No Bet

Tenerife (DNB)

Edge +22.4%Void
Our model70.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+22.4
Odds
2.08

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.7%Close
Our model61.2%
The market43.5%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
2.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market51.8%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Tenerife Win

Edge +16.6%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market35.0%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
2.86

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.0% · actual

0-2

8.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.