La Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Real SociedadvsValencia

3 - 4

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 58.9%
Market said: 58.8%
Edge: +0.1 pts
Best odds: 1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.1%

Our model58.9%

The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Sociedad

Attack61

Defence40

Form45

Valencia

Attack42

Defence53

Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct

Our model58.9%

The market58.8%

Edge: +0.1
Odds: 1.70

Draw No Bet

Real Sociedad (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss

Our model58.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +0.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Correct

Our model55.1%

The market52.4%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.91

Match Winner

Real Sociedad Win

Edge +4.1%Miss

Our model50.6%

The market46.5%

Edge: +4.1
Odds: 2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.5%Miss

Our model11.5%

The market10.0%

Edge: +1.5
Odds: 9.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.5%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record