Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Real Valladolid II badgeReal Valladolid IIvsBurgos Promesas badgeBurgos Promesas

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model65.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Real Valladolid II badge

Real Valladolid II

Attack85
Defence35
Form53
Burgos Promesas badge

Burgos Promesas

Attack45
Defence45
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Close
Our model65.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Real Valladolid II Win

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model64.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Real Valladolid II (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.