Primera B badgePrimera B · 26 April 2026AI PICK

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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+22.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

High confidenceEdge +22.5%
Our model73.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 22.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

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Recoleta

Attack70
Defence42
Form63
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Antofagasta

Attack59
Defence65
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.5%Close
Our model73.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+22.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.1%Miss
Our model68.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Recoleta (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Recoleta Win

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model51.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.