Primera B badgePrimera B · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Recoleta badgeRecoletavsCobreloa badgeCobreloa

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
47.8%
Edge
+21.4 pts
Best odds
2.09

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.09

MediumEdge +21.4%
Our model69.2%
The market47.8%

The market underrated this by 21.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack57
Defence44
Form52
Cobreloa badge

Cobreloa

Attack62
Defence64
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.4%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market47.8%
Edge
+21.4
Odds
2.09

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model66.6%
The market54.9%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Recoleta Win

Edge +17.9%Miss
Our model54.9%
The market37.0%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
2.70

Draw No Bet

Recoleta (DNB)

Void
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

8.0%

1-1

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.