Recoletavs
Cobreloa
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 47.8%
- Edge
- +21.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.09
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.09
The market underrated this by 21.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Recoleta
Cobreloa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.4
- Odds
- 2.09
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.7
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Recoleta Win
- Edge
- +17.9
- Odds
- 2.70
Draw No Bet
Recoleta (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 14.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.